What the study found
Haskins’ paper used data from the Fragile Families Study, which tracked about 5000 children born between 1998 and 2000, and their parents, through the age of nine. Because the Fragile Families Study takes in a lot of information about these families, Haskins was able to control not just for factors like race or socioeconomic status that affect whole populations, but also for factors that are specific to each family — like parental behavior.
HASKINS WAS ABLE, AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE, TO ISOLATE THE IMPACT OF GOING TO PRISON This is important because a lot of the things that make children more likely to have incarcerated fathers also make them less likely to be “school-ready:” being black, being of low socioeconomic status, having parents who weren’t well educated, and having fathers who were prone to “antisocial or deviant behavior.” Some commentators say that things like the last two are evidence of a “culture of pathology,” which they believe is the most important cause of discipline problems for kids and adults alike. It’s a tangled ball of factors, but Haskins did her best to untangle them. She compared kids who had the characteristics above, but whose fathers didn’t end up in prison, to kids who had those characteristics and whose fathers did (specifically, whose fathers went to prison for the first time when their kids were between 1 and 5). This means that both groups of kids were exposed to the kind of parental behavior that might add up to a “culture of pathology.” So Haskins was able, as much as possible, to isolate the influence of going to prison itself.
FIVE-YEAR-OLD BOYS WITH INCARCERATED DADS WERE WORSE AT STAYING ON TASK AND KEEPING EMOTIONS UNDER CONTROL She discovered one substantial handicap: five-year-old boys with incarcerated fathers had substantially worse “non-cognitive readiness” — things like staying on task, paying attention, and keeping emotions under control. The difference was essentially the equivalent of missing several months of school. Black sons of incarcerated fathers were 2 months behind their non-incarcerated counterparts. White sons of incarcerated fathers were 4 months behind other white kids (though the difference between black and white sons of incarcerated fathers wasn’t statistically significant). By the age of nine, she found, these boys were more likely to have been placed in special education classes because of their behavioral issues. Haskins didn’t find that daughters of incarcerated fathers are at a serious disadvantage as preschoolers, and she didn’t find that kids of incarcerated fathers have substantially worse cognitive skills than their peers. The difference is mostly emotional and behavioral. “Simply put,” Haskins writes, “boys with incarcerated fathers possess fewer of the non-cognitive skills needed to successfully navigate and adjust to the expectations and interactions” when they first start school.
What the study means
TOUGH SCHOOL DISCIPLINE MAKES STUDENTS LESS LIKELY TO SUCCEED, AND MORE LIKELY TO GET IN TROUBLE WITH THE LAW This finding is coming out at a time when there’s a lot of interest in what’s called the “school to prison pipeline.” Tough school discipline policies tend to make affected students less likely to succeed in school — one study found getting suspended or expelled was a stronger predictor of dropping out than doing badly in classes — and more likely to run into trouble with the law. According to one study, even when students weren’t being suspended for the serious offenses that state law requires suspensions for, they were still 2.85 times more likely to run into the “juvenile justice system” over the next year than students who weren’t suspended. The students most likely to be affected by these zero-tolerance discipline policies are predominantly black students in struggling city schools, and the disparity in discipline — black students are three times more likely to be suspended than white students — has led Attorney General Eric Holder to call the school-to-prison pipeline a civil-rights issue, and to produce new “school guidelines” with the Department of Education to encourage schools to ensure their discipline policies are racially fair.
Researchers and policymakers are beginning to realize just how early the school-to-prison pipeline starts: just last month, a federal survey on school discipline found that black students account for 18% of all preschoolers, but 48% of all preschool out-of-school suspensions. Now, this new study from Haskins closes the loop: sons of fathers who’ve been incarcerated are more likely to have behavioral problems as preschoolers, which makes them more likely to get suspended, which makes them more likely to run into trouble with the law themselves, which makes them more likely to become, ultimately, the incarcerated fathers of preschool sons. The Haskins study makes it clear that fighting the school-to-prison pipeline isn’t just a matter of working with schools to improve discipline practices, but taking a hard look at how many kids are at a disadvantage before they even get to school because their parents are in prison, and maybe even putting fewer of them in prison to begin with.